Consumption drivers
Over the past decade, several economic and social changes have driven rapidly increasing market volumes in China’s alcoholic beverage market.
Economic boom
The country’s fast-paced economic development has led to rapid urbanization and changes in beverage consumption. For example, many middle-class consumers were able to afford only local alcoholic beverages—primarily beer and baijiu—prior to China’s recent economic boom. The boost in income has enabled Chinese consumers to buy more expensive types and brands of alcohol—including foreign. It has also enabled consumers to go out more, which has led to the development of more pubs in China. Furthermore, an increasing number of big-city consumers with rising incomes are embracing wine, which many Chinese consider a fashionable Western drink.
Government regulation
Though alcohol consumption has long been considered an integral part of China’s traditions, it has also gone through several periods of government regulation. Chinese history reveals that laws against wine production were enacted and repealed 41 times between 1100 BC and 1400 AD.
In the late 1980s and 1990s, the PRC government took measures to promote responsible and healthier drinking habits among Chinese consumers and reserve more grain for food consumption by encouraging fruit-based alcohol instead of grain-based alcohol. The government launched campaigns to encourage the consumption of grape wine and beer rather than stronger grain-based baijiu. In the late 1990s, the government also increased the tax rate for imported spirits, limited the import of high-strength alcohol into China, and refused to extend new production licenses for domestic and foreign spirits manufacturers—leading to a decline in China’s spirits market during that period. China’s 2001 World Trade Organization entry led to reduced import duties on foreign alcohol, and rising consumer demand led to increased imports and sales of imported spirits and wine.
Female consumers
China’s wine market sales are looking stronger than ever, with the sales volume projected to increase at a compound annual growth rate of 14 percent from 2009 to 2014. Increased consumption among female consumers is fueling this strong growth.
Though it is socially acceptable for men to consume high-strength alcohol, the concept of women consuming high-strength alcohol such as baijiu is still not fully accepted in Chinese culture. Changing social conditions in recent years have led to the wider acceptance of drinking among women, however. Datamonitor has found that gender roles have been blurring, and women and men are more equally attending events and participating in drinking in most social occasions in China. Moreover, the new generation of working women in China is socially compelled to consume alcohol to stay “equal” in the eyes of their male colleagues. Female consumers’ financial independence may also explain the rise in alcohol consumption among women, particularly in the past five years.
Within the alcohol sector, Chinese women appear to have primarily embraced wine, largely because it reflects their aspirational lifestyles. In addition, many consumers believe that drinking wine is good for one’s health and that it promotes beautiful skin. Wine manufacturers may find the fast-growing consumer base of women wine drinkers interested in pre-mixed drinks and fruit-based alcohols as well.
Sector challenges
Health and safety concerns
Given the country’s preference for high-strength baijiu, health and safety issues associated with alcohol are a concern. In the last 10 years, China’s alcohol consumption patterns have changed dramatically, from strong demand for the highly potent baijiu to the increased popularity of low- or no-alcohol beer. According to MDA data, between 2000 and 2009, the per capita consumption of low- or no-alcohol beer increased by 11 percent a year, compared to an annual increase of 7 percent for alcoholic beverages overall.
The PRC government only recently enacted a minimum drinking age and laws that prohibit the consumption of alcohol among children. In 2006, the government introduced a law that bans the sale of alcoholic beverages to consumers below the age of 18. In addition, the government in August 2009 increased the base tax and consumption tax rates on high-strength alcohol, including baijiu. Increased taxes on spirits and other high-strength alcohol, coupled with media and industry promotions for healthier drinking habits, have affected consumer choices, and more consumers are choosing lower-strength alcohol.
New alcoholic beverage launches reflect this trend toward healthier alternatives, as wines made up more than half of new products launched in China’s alcoholic beverage sector in 2009 and nearly 40 percent of such new product launches in 2010.
Competition
China’s alcoholic beverage market is dominated by major companies such as SABMiller plc, Tsingtao Brewery Co., Ltd., Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV, Molson Coors Brewing Co., and Beijing Yanjing Beer Group Corp. According to MDA data, these top five companies together controlled 57 percent of market volume in 2009. Interestingly, the top five players in China’s alcoholic beverage sector are also the top five players in the beer, cider, and FABs category, suggesting that this category drives the overall alcoholic beverages sector. The top five wine companies in China are domestic firms: Yantai Changyu Group Co., Ltd.; China Great Wall Wine Co., Ltd.; Tonghua Grape Wine Co., Ltd.; Dynasty Fine Wines Group Ltd.; and Yantai Weilong Grape Wine Co. Ltd.
Though the beer and wine markets are highly concentrated—with the top five players commanding market shares of 81 percent and 62 percent, respectively—the spirits market in China is more fragmented. In 2009, the top five players contributed a meager 2 percent of total spirits sales. This is because the spirits market reflects the local market for baijiu, which is primarily produced by smaller local companies, rather than by large international companies.
The top players in China’s alcoholic beverage sector are consolidating by acquiring smaller firms to gain market share and access to lower-tier cities in China. A few merger and acquisition deals have occurred among alcoholic beverage companies in recent years. In the first half of 2009, four out of five deals involved large market players such as Anheuser-Busch InBev, Carlsberg Breweries A/S, and Tsingtao Brewery. That year, Denmark-based brewer Carlsberg increased its stake in Xinjiang Lanjian Jianiang Investment Co., Ltd., the company that owns the Xinjiang market leader Xinjiang Wusu Brewery Co., Ltd. Following the deal, Carlsberg held a 63.4 percent stake in the brewery.
Companies will also face competition from counterfeit brands, which generally target lower-income consumer groups. Counterfeit alcohol brands are so prevalent in the country that some alcoholic beverage manufacturers have been forced to take special measures to preserve their brand images and market shares. For example Diageo, the parent company of the premium whisky brand Johnnie Walker, has located special teams at bars and pubs to spot-check bottles to ensure their authenticity. The Australian wine industry, which is a large exporter of wines to China, and Canadian ice wines, which are one of the most coveted wines in Asia, are being counterfeited and sold at lower price points.
Local tastes
Akin to most other food and beverage sectors, China’s alcoholic beverages sector attracts many popular international brands. To reach target consumers, many foreign players attempt to localize their products to suit Chinese preferences. For example, the French alcoholic beverage company Pernod Ricard SA has not only localized its staff and operations through a vineyard in China, but it has also customized the way that its Chivas Regal Scotch whiskey is consumed. Observing that Chinese like green tea as a mixer in their spirits, the company began promoting canned green tea as a mixer with its whiskey products instead of encouraging Chinese consumers to drink Scotch neat, straight up, or on the rocks.