of future greenhouse gas emissions and
epidemiological models. These scenarios
were used to estimate the degree to which
these climatic changes are likely to affect a
limited series of health outcomes (malaria,
diarrheal disease, malnutrition, f lood deaths,
direct effects of heat and cold). These
measures of proportional change can be
applied to projections of the burden of each
of these diseases in the future, to calculate
the possible impacts of climate change on
the overall disease burden (5).