Looking ahead, several lines of related research appear especially promising. First,
more research that helps to improve the forecasting of key valuation parameters would
be welcomed. Accurate forecasts of long-term earnings are a scarce commodity, and
accounting researchers can potentially provide useful guidance in this regard. One approach
is to begin with mechanical time-series models based on past earnings or abnormal
earnings (e.g., Dechow et al. 1999). Another is to begin with analyst forecasts and
enhance them with additional information, such as mechEinical ROE "fade rates" (e.g..
Lee et al. 1999). Similar research opportunities exist for improving other key input
parameters, such as cost-of-capital estimates and book-value growth estimates.
Insights gleaned from the valuation literature can also be usefully transferred to
other areas of accounting research, such as international accounting, taxation, managerial
incentives, and behavioral decision making. In addition, some of the most interesting
valuation problems have traditionally have been regarded as the domain of corporate
finance or investments. However, accounting researchers are likely to be better
qualified to address many of the issues related to sheire repurchases, LBOs, IPOs, mergers
and acquisitions, than their counterparts in finance. If they are willing to address these
issues, I believe accounting researchers have the opportunity to generate some of the
most significant research in financial economics over the next few decades.
Looking ahead, several lines of related research appear especially promising. First,more research that helps to improve the forecasting of key valuation parameters wouldbe welcomed. Accurate forecasts of long-term earnings are a scarce commodity, andaccounting researchers can potentially provide useful guidance in this regard. One approachis to begin with mechanical time-series models based on past earnings or abnormalearnings (e.g., Dechow et al. 1999). Another is to begin with analyst forecasts andenhance them with additional information, such as mechEinical ROE "fade rates" (e.g..Lee et al. 1999). Similar research opportunities exist for improving other key inputparameters, such as cost-of-capital estimates and book-value growth estimates.Insights gleaned from the valuation literature can also be usefully transferred toother areas of accounting research, such as international accounting, taxation, managerialincentives, and behavioral decision making. In addition, some of the most interestingvaluation problems have traditionally have been regarded as the domain of corporatefinance or investments. However, accounting researchers are likely to be betterqualified to address many of the issues related to sheire repurchases, LBOs, IPOs, mergersand acquisitions, than their counterparts in finance. If they are willing to address theseissues, I believe accounting researchers have the opportunity to generate some of themost significant research in financial economics over the next few decades.
การแปล กรุณารอสักครู่..
