The correct answer to the second question is 96.04 percent. About 55 percent of those responding choose either 45 percent or 67 percent; The remaining responses are scattered. But most are well below 96 percent. In fact, most are below 75 percent. In other words, most people respond too conservatively to the new information in this problem. Perhaps they get anchored on to 45 percent and do not adjust sufficiently to the new information.