Marilyn Solution Number Three
vos savant tried another approach. Let's say that your original pick is door number one. Now Monty opens a door and revels a goat. imagine that just after Monty opened the door and revealed a goat, a UFO lands on the stage and a little green woman emerges. Without knowing what you originally chose, she is asked to pick one of the two unopened doors. The odds of her picking the winning door are fifty-fifty. It is fifty-fifty for her because she lacks the advantage original contestant- the help of Monty.
Monty boosts the original contestant's odds by opening a door that contains a goat. Monty always picks the door that contains a goat. If the Cadillac is behind door number two, Monty reveals the goat behind door number three. If the Cadillac is behind door number three, Monty reveals the goat behind door number two. So when you switch, you win the prize if it's behind either door number two or three. YOU WIN EITHER WAY. But if you do not switch, you only win if the prize is behind door number one,your initialpick.So your odds of winning are two out of three if you switch. the little Green woman did not have this help when she arrived on stage so her odds of winning are merely fifty-fifty.
Finally, the Ask Marilyn readers were won over with this solution and vos Savant put the controversy behind her, Her critics were forced to eat crow. They were the ones who were "zonked"
Marilyn ทางออกหมายเลข 3
Marilyn Solution Number Three
vos savant tried another approach. Let's say that your original pick is door number one. Now Monty opens a door and revels a goat. imagine that just after Monty opened the door and revealed a goat, a UFO lands on the stage and a little green woman emerges. Without knowing what you originally chose, she is asked to pick one of the two unopened doors. The odds of her picking the winning door are fifty-fifty. It is fifty-fifty for her because she lacks the advantage original contestant- the help of Monty.
Monty boosts the original contestant's odds by opening a door that contains a goat. Monty always picks the door that contains a goat. If the Cadillac is behind door number two, Monty reveals the goat behind door number three. If the Cadillac is behind door number three, Monty reveals the goat behind door number two. So when you switch, you win the prize if it's behind either door number two or three. YOU WIN EITHER WAY. But if you do not switch, you only win if the prize is behind door number one,your initialpick.So your odds of winning are two out of three if you switch. the little Green woman did not have this help when she arrived on stage so her odds of winning are merely fifty-fifty.
Finally, the Ask Marilyn readers were won over with this solution and vos Savant put the controversy behind her, Her critics were forced to eat crow. They were the ones who were "zonked"
Marilyn ทางออกหมายเลข 3
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