This brief note is aimed at deciphering what happened and why, and assessing the major
policy lessons that follow from the onset of the crisis. It begins by describing the major
hypotheses that have been put forth about the origins of the crisis, and assessing the extent of the
validity of each. Was the crisis the result of extreme vulnerabilities and weaknesses in the Asian
economies? Was it the predictable consequence of the "moral hazard" of excessive risks taken
by investors in the belief that they would be bailed out in the event of a crisis? Was it the result of
exchange rate devaluations, as some observers has alleged? Was it a case of a creditor panic?
The paper then summarizes some of the main policy lessons of the crisis, in areas including
financial sector liberalization, exchange rate policy, management of capital flows, and crisis
prevention and management by the international financial institutions. We do not address the
important issue of appropriate strategies for the Asian countries for bank reorganization and
corporate restructuring, which will be dealt with in detail in a forthcoming paper.
This brief note is aimed at deciphering what happened and why, and assessing the majorpolicy lessons that follow from the onset of the crisis. It begins by describing the majorhypotheses that have been put forth about the origins of the crisis, and assessing the extent of thevalidity of each. Was the crisis the result of extreme vulnerabilities and weaknesses in the Asianeconomies? Was it the predictable consequence of the "moral hazard" of excessive risks takenby investors in the belief that they would be bailed out in the event of a crisis? Was it the result ofexchange rate devaluations, as some observers has alleged? Was it a case of a creditor panic?The paper then summarizes some of the main policy lessons of the crisis, in areas includingfinancial sector liberalization, exchange rate policy, management of capital flows, and crisisprevention and management by the international financial institutions. We do not address theimportant issue of appropriate strategies for the Asian countries for bank reorganization andcorporate restructuring, which will be dealt with in detail in a forthcoming paper.
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