Samsonite International (BUY HK$24.10 Bloomberg: 1910 HK | Reuters: 1910.HK)
Strong M&A capacity
Price Target: 12-Month HK$ 28.75 (Prev HK$ 27.81)
by Mavis HUI (852) 2863 8879 mavis_hui@hk.dbsvickers.com,
Mark LI (852) 2971 1935 mark_li@hk.dbsvickers.com
• Latest management call confirms that the Speck deal is an earnings accretive acquisition after all.
• This should reinforce investors’ confidence on Samsonite’s M&A capabilities. We also raised FY14-15 profit estimates by 1-3% and lifted our TP to HK$28.75 on 20x FY15 PE.
• Riding on strong operating cash inflows (>US$200m) plus net cash level of >US$200m, we stay hopeful for more acquisitions ahead to beef up growth. Maintain BUY
Acquisition of Speck. Recently, Samsonite completed acquisition of Speculative Product Design LLC ("Speck") from private equity firm VMG Partners for US$85m cash. Speck is a leading U.S. designer and distributor of slim protective cases for personal electronic devices, with the US accounting for c.80% of its sales. The deal enables Samsonite to extend brand portfolio beyond its core ‘travel luggage segment’ into the ‘business & protective case segment’, and provides immediate foothold in protective cases for smart phones, tablets and portable computers to enhance growth and cost synergies.
Earnings accretion. Speck registered US$126.6m sales and US$4.5m net profit in 2012, but went into overstock problems in 2013 to record US$104.8m sales and a net loss of US$18.4m. According to Samsonite’s latest investor call, YTD performance of Speck has staged a healthy recovery, with 2014 net profit to expect at no less than the 2012 level. Besides, Speck is in good shape to attain revenue growth that aligns the US industry’s low to mid-teens growth, plus a EBITDA margin of c.15-16% by 2015. Samsonite will continue to use the Speck brand and leverage on its strong R&D for iconic products targeting the younger customers. Besides, Specks mainly collaborates with 2 factories in Taipei, Taiwan, with a small portion coming from suppliers in China, some of which are Samsonite’s existing manufacturing partners. As such, Samsonite might also develop bag merchandises using the Speck brand to further tap the younger consumer segment.
Outlook stays firm. We have raised our earnings estimates by 1% to US$219m for FY14, and by 3% to US$259m for FY15. Looking ahead, Samsonite’s plan to proactively introduce Speck into Asia and/or Latin America perhaps by mid-2015 could also accelerate medium-term growth. Additionally, Samsonite stays upbeat in seeking suitable M&As, and we anticipate possible conclusion of another deal (e.g. casual bag segment) in the coming 6+ months that could prompt further re-rating.
Samsonite International (BUY HK$24.10 Bloomberg: 1910 HK | Reuters: 1910.HK)
Strong M&A capacity
Price Target: 12-Month HK$ 28.75 (Prev HK$ 27.81)
by Mavis HUI (852) 2863 8879 mavis_hui@hk.dbsvickers.com,
Mark LI (852) 2971 1935 mark_li@hk.dbsvickers.com
• Latest management call confirms that the Speck deal is an earnings accretive acquisition after all.
• This should reinforce investors’ confidence on Samsonite’s M&A capabilities. We also raised FY14-15 profit estimates by 1-3% and lifted our TP to HK$28.75 on 20x FY15 PE.
• Riding on strong operating cash inflows (>US$200m) plus net cash level of >US$200m, we stay hopeful for more acquisitions ahead to beef up growth. Maintain BUY
Acquisition of Speck. Recently, Samsonite completed acquisition of Speculative Product Design LLC ("Speck") from private equity firm VMG Partners for US$85m cash. Speck is a leading U.S. designer and distributor of slim protective cases for personal electronic devices, with the US accounting for c.80% of its sales. The deal enables Samsonite to extend brand portfolio beyond its core ‘travel luggage segment’ into the ‘business & protective case segment’, and provides immediate foothold in protective cases for smart phones, tablets and portable computers to enhance growth and cost synergies.
Earnings accretion. Speck registered US$126.6m sales and US$4.5m net profit in 2012, but went into overstock problems in 2013 to record US$104.8m sales and a net loss of US$18.4m. According to Samsonite’s latest investor call, YTD performance of Speck has staged a healthy recovery, with 2014 net profit to expect at no less than the 2012 level. Besides, Speck is in good shape to attain revenue growth that aligns the US industry’s low to mid-teens growth, plus a EBITDA margin of c.15-16% by 2015. Samsonite will continue to use the Speck brand and leverage on its strong R&D for iconic products targeting the younger customers. Besides, Specks mainly collaborates with 2 factories in Taipei, Taiwan, with a small portion coming from suppliers in China, some of which are Samsonite’s existing manufacturing partners. As such, Samsonite might also develop bag merchandises using the Speck brand to further tap the younger consumer segment.
Outlook stays firm. We have raised our earnings estimates by 1% to US$219m for FY14, and by 3% to US$259m for FY15. Looking ahead, Samsonite’s plan to proactively introduce Speck into Asia and/or Latin America perhaps by mid-2015 could also accelerate medium-term growth. Additionally, Samsonite stays upbeat in seeking suitable M&As, and we anticipate possible conclusion of another deal (e.g. casual bag segment) in the coming 6+ months that could prompt further re-rating.
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