however, there is no evidence that such exchange rate appreciation would exist
indefinitely. More likely, the exchange rate would stop appreciating and would begin to
depreciate after a certain point, partly as a result of the earlier appreciation. Another
interpretation of the depreciation could be the well-known Triffin Dilemma, which states
that a reserve currency-issuing country will find it difficult to keep its exchange rate
stable or avoid currency depreciation while still satisfying the constantly increasing
demand for sufficient liquidity, unless it maintains current account deficits. Because the
RMB is just in its beginning stage of internationalization, there is certainly no immediate
worry about its depreciation. However, it could be problematic if the currency
appreciates too much in a short period because exports are still so important to the
PRC’s economic growth.
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