monthly income ~70.3 USD and 78% population agrarian.
The region has 1,436,878 total households in which
87.98% are rural, while 12.02% are urban; the demographic
divide lies with 51.25% males, 48.75% females and
3,462,855 works in the entire study area.
Analysis of epidemiology indices and maps
Malaria incidence in the selected study area is not very
prominent if compared with the prevalence in African
countries. Instead of API and SPR, 100API and 100SPR
was plotted annually for Gorakhpur to highlight numerical
values of these epidemiological indices (Figure 11
(11.1)). 100API is algebraic multiplication of API by 100
to magnify the existing API. This is highly useful for the
region where API is not so high and magnification eases
the study of API variation. These two are plotted on
common axis system to find any possible relationship
between API and SPR. Theoretically, these are directly
related, i.e., ‘sail, swim and sink together’, but observation
reveals peculiarity of ‘no proportionate relationship’.
However, a major section of the plot is in consistency
with the theory and the partial mismatch is because of
the error in data collection from the DMO.
Malaria incidence of year 2012 with 2013 was compared
and also seasonal and monthly variation of malaria
cases for Kushinagar and Maharajganj was plotted
(Figure 11 (11.2-11.5)). Epidemiology data for year 2012
was kept to verify the predictive model and results obtained
in the study confer with the malaria observed in
the villages of ‘very high’ or ‘high’ incidence. GIS mapping
for year 2012 for same geographic region was done
by and result was compared with the predictive model
in the current study. In both districts malaria incidence
is relatively high during months July-September (rainy
season) in both the years. This establishes positive