In brief
Aung San Suu Kyi's new role as "state counsellor" puts her in a better place to steer policy from a position of greater—and more formal—authority. Reform efforts will continue to see hiccups, however, as the army remains politically powerful. Peace talks with ethnic armed groups will soon resume, but a settlement is unlikely to be secured in the short term. On the economy, real GDP growth will average 8-9% annually in 2016-20, underpinned by large projects funded by foreign investors.