Aside from the quota, the question is whether or not
actual landings will reach the quota. The historical review
shows that, except for the year 2008, effective landings
have never reached the quota (graph 2). So the quota
clearly constitutes a landing ceiling that may not be
reached. By how much? No one knows yet and will depend
largely on how the fishermen will be able to catch the
resource, i.e. mainly if the fish is either dispersed or deep in
the sea or concentrating within the 5 miles from the coast
not accessible to the industrial fishery. Finally, bad weather
and rough seas may also prevent the fishing vessels to go
out. Fishing remains a very uncertain business. Also
remember that the fish becomes a market factor only when
it has reached the hold of the fishing vessel…and this is not
guaranteed ahead of time.