In this article,weattempt tomeet this need, if only partially,by presentingn and nillustrating several low-cost
evaluation methodologies that can beused predictively or formatively toestimate the likelihoodof failures in
program implementation. Our purpose here, at base, is to extend conversation about methods for estimating
program failures already begun especially by the GAO (1990),Morell (2005, 2010), Scheirer et al. (2012)
and by Patton (especially 2011) among others. The methodologies that we present have been adapted from
other uses and subsequently applied to the problem of predictively estimating implementation breakdowns