5. Scenarios
The focus of this analysis is on the impact of supply strategies on
the dynamics of biofuel markets. To achieve a self-sustaining biofuel
system, fuel production and refueling stations must coexist. In
the Reference scenario, which lacks any infrastructure support,
AFVs are trapped in a chicken-and-egg situation where insufficient fuel production and refueling stations exists to make AFV adoption
viable, and the lack of fuel demand from a fleet of vehicles provides
no incentive to construct that infrastructure. The key policy measure
that can be used by energy planners to improve fuel availability
is the construction of biofuel infrastructure. Two scenarios
which support the fuel and infrastructure for biofuel vehicles