The probability sensitivities show that all of the uncertainties (except for
Average Selling Price CAGR) have the potential to switch the best alternative
from DiagStatic New to DiagRF Plus.
For Technical Success, Figure 6–22 shows that for probabilities of technical success over 70 percent, DiagStatic New is the preferred alternative. Everyone agreed that the probability was in the 90 percent range, so there was no concern about this probability.
The remaining probabilities (Figures 6–23 to 6–28) had fairly general
agreement that, in the two-branch approximation, each branch had about a 50
percent probability.