There are several explanations for the inverse relationship between the oil price and the US dollar exchange rate. One of them involves the growing role of investors in commodity markets related to falling financial asset returns in advanced countries. In this case, oil is a recognised investment asset used as a means of diversifying the risk of inflation, the risk of US dollar depreciation or the risk of a stock market decline. Furthermore, a depreciation of the US dollar or an easing of monetary policy in the USA implies an easing of the monetary conditions in countries whose exchange rate is tied to the dollar.
Demand in these countries, including demand for oil products, then increases, reinforcing the effect of US monetary policy on commodity market prices. In addition, a weakening of the dollar against the currencies of countries with floating exchange rates means that the oil price in local currency becomes lower. This can cause a rise in demand for oil in these countries as well (for details, see, for example, Cuaresma and Breitenfellner, 2008, p. 7).
There are several explanations for the inverse relationship between the oil price and the US dollar exchange rate. One of them involves the growing role of investors in commodity markets related to falling financial asset returns in advanced countries. In this case, oil is a recognised investment asset used as a means of diversifying the risk of inflation, the risk of US dollar depreciation or the risk of a stock market decline. Furthermore, a depreciation of the US dollar or an easing of monetary policy in the USA implies an easing of the monetary conditions in countries whose exchange rate is tied to the dollar. Demand in these countries, including demand for oil products, then increases, reinforcing the effect of US monetary policy on commodity market prices. In addition, a weakening of the dollar against the currencies of countries with floating exchange rates means that the oil price in local currency becomes lower. This can cause a rise in demand for oil in these countries as well (for details, see, for example, Cuaresma and Breitenfellner, 2008, p. 7).
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