In this study, we take advantage of a natural experiment. While virtually every state across the country took some
steps to increase the harshness of the juvenile justice system during the 1990s, there were no comparable, sweeping
legislative efforts targeted at any other age groups. Thus, if these sweeping changes to the juvenile justice system had
a specific effect in deterring juvenile crimes, we would expect to see a reduction in the rate of juvenile homicide
commission rates over time, compared to other age cohorts. Put differently, if these legislative efforts exerted a
unique deterrent impact on the juvenile age group, then the trend in juvenile homicide offender rates should differ
from other age cohorts. The juvenile homicide commission rates should decrease more quickly or more significantly.
We use young adults between the ages of eighteen and twenty-four years old as our comparison age cohort.
In this study, we take advantage of a natural experiment. While virtually every state across the country took some
steps to increase the harshness of the juvenile justice system during the 1990s, there were no comparable, sweeping
legislative efforts targeted at any other age groups. Thus, if these sweeping changes to the juvenile justice system had
a specific effect in deterring juvenile crimes, we would expect to see a reduction in the rate of juvenile homicide
commission rates over time, compared to other age cohorts. Put differently, if these legislative efforts exerted a
unique deterrent impact on the juvenile age group, then the trend in juvenile homicide offender rates should differ
from other age cohorts. The juvenile homicide commission rates should decrease more quickly or more significantly.
We use young adults between the ages of eighteen and twenty-four years old as our comparison age cohort.
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