would be high at 0.4% per year over the study period. The
price of fossil fuels would increase by a factor of 0.5 times
as that of annual growth rate of TA2. Household would
have moderate appliance ownership and use of public
transport is emphasized. This scenario is a consequence of
active polices towards balanced economic and social
differences in the country.
Local stewardship scenario (TB2): This scenario is
characterized by the global economy that is unbalanced
with strong economic turmoil in different regions of the
world. Hence, this scenario is based on the necessity of
strong local communities. Due to global turmoil, economic
growth in the country is at low level, 4% per year based on
low scenario of NIDA (2006) study during 2000–2020 and
3.5% per year for the remaining years until 2050.
Population growth is moderate at an average 0.39% per
year based on the United Nations medium variant
projection. There is also low energy efficiency improvement
at 0.1% per year. Household would have low home
appliances ownership and high public transport use. The
price of fossil fuels would remain the same as that of the
current price.