analyzing the sensitivity without considering the opportunities and risk, we can draw three conclusions. (1) the electricity price has the greatest influence on profitability among all factors. (2) compared to the efficiency of power plans, the fuel price has the opposite negative effect, but their effect values are equal. (3)except production scale and the utilization hours, the remaining factors play small effects. Rate of net profit is about 7.7% return on assets (ROA) is 3.8%. Return on equity (ROE) is 12.8%. fixed asset turnover is about 50%. internal rate of return is about 20%. net present value (NPV) is 1.7 billion Yuan. profitability is about 2.1. interest coverage ratio is 30%. the debt service coverage ratio is 150%. the static recovery period is six years and the dynamic recovery period is 8.8 years.