The previous section found evidence to support the notion that
the news-return relationship is driven by institutional constraints.
Since trading in futures (as in any financial asset) is dependent on
access to credit, the cost and availability of credit may impact the
behaviour of traders through the imposition of additional constraints
on their trading positions. In turn, this may influence the
way in which gold futures respond to news sentiment over the
course of the business cycle.
The principle result suggests that constraints imposed on traders
have a significant impact on the net positions of both speculators
and hedgers;