— Economic growth. Economic growth is an important driver of public (and private) equity performance. We consider scenarios where global growth is robust, anemic, or even negative.
— Financial market conditions. Markets tend to oscillate between a low-volatility, growth-driven state and a turbulent, panic-driven state. We have developed practical measures of financial turbulence, systemic risk, and centrality that can be tailored to stress test portfolios in these environments.
— Institutional overcrowding. Inflow into factors tends to push up prices, while extremes in factor positioning tend to mean revert over time. We have developed innovative techniques to determine not only which factors investors are reaching for, but also which factors are currently over- or underweight in institutional holdings. These measures can provide valuable insights into peer-driven portfolio risk.