Must say it is a quandary. You have the volumes going to the traditional markets like Korea, Indo, Malaysia and Japan all have limited scope. Looking beyond that, limited MSG and unless the physical discounts are sizeable China will be limited too given the experience we know some refiners had last/this year. Jamal still remains a possible market for upto 500kmt,say, as he would have melted some of his stock (we were estimating 600/700k in early July and he hasn't taken very much since. Presumably he is melting around 4-5k a day so 300k drawn down from superbowl with limited imports to replenish. Only problem with Jamal is the size of discount he'd require...
Not sure how much will be realistically carried and comingled /remelted next year. I don't know if early remelt would impinge on their raws throughput in which case this would be a limited outlet. Then how much will be comingled which could mean just very poor new season thai raws?
More questions than answers I take but there doesn't seem to be any panacea which takes the thai issue out with one stroke.