1. Framing the challenge
2. Gathering information
3. Identifying driving forces
4. Defining the future’s critical “either/or” uncertainties
5. Generating the scenarios
6. Fleshing them out and creating story lines
By following this procedure, you will end up with a number of detailed scenarios. Now you have to do something with them, which requires an additional couple of steps if you want the scenarios to result in something of practical value:
7. Validating the scenarios and identifying further research needed
8. Assessing their implications and defining possible responses
9. Identifying signposts
10. Monitoring and updating the scenarios as time goes on
What this all comes down to is using the scenarios to help you develop a better strategic plan.