Suppose two candidates A and B are running against each other in an election, and A wins (or is tied) by receiving m ≥ n votes, where n is the number of votes received by B During the count the media makes projections about winning. Such a projection is reinforced with every vote received, if A remains ahead throughout.The classical question is:What is the probability that A stays ahead of B throughout the voting? Ifm = n, the probability of the event in question is 0,because by the time the last vote is received there is an equal number of votes for each, and Ais not ahead after the (m+n)th vote is cast
Suppose two candidates A and B are running against each other in an election, and A wins (or is tied) by receiving m ≥ n votes, where n is the number of votes received by B During the count the media makes projections about winning. Such a projection is reinforced with every vote received, if A remains ahead throughout.The classical question is:What is the probability that A stays ahead of B throughout the voting? Ifm = n, the probability of the event in question is 0,because by the time the last vote is received there is an equal number of votes for each, and Ais not ahead after the (m+n)th vote is cast
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