The limited flexibility of exchange rates in China and the ASEAN countries comes
with potential costs, some of which are already evident. When capital mobility is
high, limits on exchange rate flexibility constrain the ability of domestic monetary
authorities to control domestic interest rates, thereby restricting their monetary policy
autonomy. Admittedly, current restrictions on capital flows in the region have so far
afforded monetary policy authorities in the region sufficient autonomy to meet their
inflation objectives. However some evidence suggests that domestic interest rates in the
Philippines and Thailand were significantly influenced by changes in interest rates in
the United States during 1999-2007 (Kim and Yang, 2012). Large scale foreign exchange
market intervention can also be difficult to sterilise – which is necessary if domestic
monetary control is to be preserved – particularly when, as now, the development of
domestic financial markets is limited
The limited flexibility of exchange rates in China and the ASEAN countries comes
with potential costs, some of which are already evident. When capital mobility is
high, limits on exchange rate flexibility constrain the ability of domestic monetary
authorities to control domestic interest rates, thereby restricting their monetary policy
autonomy. Admittedly, current restrictions on capital flows in the region have so far
afforded monetary policy authorities in the region sufficient autonomy to meet their
inflation objectives. However some evidence suggests that domestic interest rates in the
Philippines and Thailand were significantly influenced by changes in interest rates in
the United States during 1999-2007 (Kim and Yang, 2012). Large scale foreign exchange
market intervention can also be difficult to sterilise – which is necessary if domestic
monetary control is to be preserved – particularly when, as now, the development of
domestic financial markets is limited
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