Short history of NOAA seasonal
hurricane forecasting
• The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) began
issuing Atlantic seasonal hurricane forecasts
after the Gray 1997 forecast bust.
• Seasonal outlooks issued in late May and early
August.
• Collaborative effort between the CPC, National
Hurricane Center, Hurricane Research Division
and now GFDL.
• Outlooks are a qualitative combination of
statistical and dynamical tools.