4. Three Alternative Pathways for Myanmar’s Agriculture
Looking forward, we see three alternative pathways for Myanmar’s agricultural sector (Figure1). Under a Business as Usual scenario, Myanmar’s agriculture will continue along its current low-productivity, highly volatile trajectory. But Myanmar can do better -- even within the country’s current considerable policy, institutional and structural constraints. And under a vigorous program of policy and structural reforms, Myanmar’s agricultural sector can accelerate rapidly. Key decisions by the GOM, its supporters and stakeholders will determine which of these three pathways the country’s farmers will travel. We next examine each pathway in more detail.