At the end of 2008, GM was already in considerable financial distress. To understand how much indirect financial distress cost is borne by a healthy car manufacturer, we compute what the expected cost of financial distress would be for car manufacturers with different credit ratings. We first compute the expected CDS of firms with different credit ratings. We use estimates of risk-neutral five-year default probabilities from Almeida and Philippon (2007) and the recovery rate of 0.413 they use to obtain these estimates. The expected CDS spreads are presented in Table 11, Panel A.