The theory of probability was born into a hostile world — a world of superstitions, of charms
and curses, where success was believed to be the reward of the “lucky” and failure the result of “outrageous fortune. “It’s birthplace, the gambling room, was hardly reputable, however fashionable it might have been. Yet, despite these handicaps, the theory of probability has had a profound impact on our ability to cope with many of the things that we observe in nature. In many respects, its contribution to scientific thought has been as significant as Newton’s calculus or Euclid’s geometry. While the practical contributions of probability theory are undisputed, few theories have created such a philosophical controversy. We shall not belabor the issues here except to note that the basic point of difference lies in the view regarding the meaning and, therefore, the use one is willing to make of probability measures. But these matters are primarily philosophical rather than mathematical. The mathematical foundations of the theory are not really at issue. Here our task is to construct a practical definition of the word “probability.”
The theory of probability was born into a hostile world — a world of superstitions, of charms
and curses, where success was believed to be the reward of the “lucky” and failure the result of “outrageous fortune. “It’s birthplace, the gambling room, was hardly reputable, however fashionable it might have been. Yet, despite these handicaps, the theory of probability has had a profound impact on our ability to cope with many of the things that we observe in nature. In many respects, its contribution to scientific thought has been as significant as Newton’s calculus or Euclid’s geometry. While the practical contributions of probability theory are undisputed, few theories have created such a philosophical controversy. We shall not belabor the issues here except to note that the basic point of difference lies in the view regarding the meaning and, therefore, the use one is willing to make of probability measures. But these matters are primarily philosophical rather than mathematical. The mathematical foundations of the theory are not really at issue. Here our task is to construct a practical definition of the word “probability.”
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