In May 2010, a team from the Rajawali Foundation Institute for Asia at the
Harvard Kennedy School wrote a report on approaches to the revitalization
of Myanmar’s agricultural sector for Proximity Designs, a Myanmar social
entrepreneurship organization. The report argued that the long-term trend in
per capita rice production was adverse and that the reform and revitalization
of agriculture required significant changes in policy. The report concluded
that those changes alone would not be sufficient to bring about the rapid
reduction of poverty in Myanmar. That latter goal required the stimulation of
non-farm sectors, so that they could absorb labor leaving agriculture.
Without measures to stimulate those sectors, farm size would fall, landlessness
would increase, and pressure on natural resources would intensify. The
same Harvard Kennedy School team (with one extra member) visited
Myanmar in June 2011 to update and expand upon its 2010 report.
Important changes had occurred since May 2010. A new government had
assumed control; in an atmosphere of anticipation and some excitement, new
and potentially effective policies were being discussed and developed. The
drought in the Dry Zone had ended, but unseasonable rains had affected production.
Some initiative had been taken to offer more agricultural credit to
farmers, an important suggestion of the May 2010 report. The economies of
Myanmar’s neighbors had recovered strongly from the global recession, providing
additional employment for workers from Myanmar. World rice prices
(taking 5% broken Vietnamese rice exports as indicative) had fluctuated
from $482 a ton in January 2010 to $360 in May–June 2010 and back up to
$575 in September 2011. Further increases in world rice prices after the Thai
elections of early July 2011 were possible.1 Rice production estimates for
Myanmar from the U.S. Department of Agriculture showed modest increases
in production from 10.55 million tons in 2009/10 to 10.75 million tons in
2010/11. This increase is roughly the same as demand growth.
In May 2010, a team from the Rajawali Foundation Institute for Asia at theHarvard Kennedy School wrote a report on approaches to the revitalizationof Myanmar’s agricultural sector for Proximity Designs, a Myanmar socialentrepreneurship organization. The report argued that the long-term trend inper capita rice production was adverse and that the reform and revitalizationof agriculture required significant changes in policy. The report concludedthat those changes alone would not be sufficient to bring about the rapidreduction of poverty in Myanmar. That latter goal required the stimulation ofnon-farm sectors, so that they could absorb labor leaving agriculture.Without measures to stimulate those sectors, farm size would fall, landlessnesswould increase, and pressure on natural resources would intensify. Thesame Harvard Kennedy School team (with one extra member) visitedMyanmar in June 2011 to update and expand upon its 2010 report.Important changes had occurred since May 2010. A new government hadassumed control; in an atmosphere of anticipation and some excitement, newand potentially effective policies were being discussed and developed. Thedrought in the Dry Zone had ended, but unseasonable rains had affected production.Some initiative had been taken to offer more agricultural credit tofarmers, an important suggestion of the May 2010 report. The economies ofMyanmar’s neighbors had recovered strongly from the global recession, providingadditional employment for workers from Myanmar. World rice prices(taking 5% broken Vietnamese rice exports as indicative) had fluctuatedfrom $482 a ton in January 2010 to $360 in May–June 2010 and back up to$575 in September 2011. Further increases in world rice prices after the Thaielections of early July 2011 were possible.1 Rice production estimates forMyanmar from the U.S. Department of Agriculture showed modest increasesin production from 10.55 million tons in 2009/10 to 10.75 million tons in2010/11. This increase is roughly the same as demand growth.
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In May 2010, a team from the Rajawali Foundation Institute for Asia at the
Harvard Kennedy School wrote a report on approaches to the revitalization
of Myanmar’s agricultural sector for Proximity Designs, a Myanmar social
entrepreneurship organization. The report argued that the long-term trend in
per capita rice production was adverse and that the reform and revitalization
of agriculture required significant changes in policy. The report concluded
that those changes alone would not be sufficient to bring about the rapid
reduction of poverty in Myanmar. That latter goal required the stimulation of
non-farm sectors, so that they could absorb labor leaving agriculture.
Without measures to stimulate those sectors, farm size would fall, landlessness
would increase, and pressure on natural resources would intensify. The
same Harvard Kennedy School team (with one extra member) visited
Myanmar in June 2011 to update and expand upon its 2010 report.
Important changes had occurred since May 2010. A new government had
assumed control; in an atmosphere of anticipation and some excitement, new
and potentially effective policies were being discussed and developed. The
drought in the Dry Zone had ended, but unseasonable rains had affected production.
Some initiative had been taken to offer more agricultural credit to
farmers, an important suggestion of the May 2010 report. The economies of
Myanmar’s neighbors had recovered strongly from the global recession, providing
additional employment for workers from Myanmar. World rice prices
(taking 5% broken Vietnamese rice exports as indicative) had fluctuated
from $482 a ton in January 2010 to $360 in May–June 2010 and back up to
$575 in September 2011. Further increases in world rice prices after the Thai
elections of early July 2011 were possible.1 Rice production estimates for
Myanmar from the U.S. Department of Agriculture showed modest increases
in production from 10.55 million tons in 2009/10 to 10.75 million tons in
2010/11. This increase is roughly the same as demand growth.
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