GDP in its simplest form is labour productivity multiplied by the number of workers. China Discovery (CCD) makes a useful forecast of the number of workers which can be used as an input to the equation. In terms of labour productivity, historically GDP growth is a function of the change in access to education among the working age population and the change in the accumulated fixed capital investment per worker. In terms of education we have a strong basis for forecasting the overall education profile of the adult population. China publishes both the existing education profile of the adult population as well as current school enrolments, and with that we are able to estimate quite reliably how the education profile will change (improve) over the future years.