Conclusions
It can be seen from the example that it is more difficult to control risk and improve the reliability of the
project with more intermediate links, which likes the bullwhip effect in the supply chain. At each phase, the risk
is easier to control and the reliability is easier to improve if with more subdivided events. The reliability of the
phase can greatly improve only with little improvement of each risk factor, which has the effect of shifting a
heavy weigh by a minimum force. It tells us the importance of simplifying procedures and implementing
meticulous management in the management of logistics park construction project. Project risk control should
grab from basic risk factors of each phase.