The world economy next year is likely to accelerate expansion. In particular the expansion of the developed countries. After the risk starts decreasing
At the u.s. economic expansion is likely to be more robust than this year in the 4 quarter of the year. A multiple point of continuous improvement. In particular, the labour market and the manufacturing sector. 2014 while the main risks during the past few years is that fiscal uncertainty back down to a lot this year. The u.s. Congress recently passed budget plans for year 2014/2015. in December the market sooner than expected. The u.s. Congress would not want the political impact of economic confidence.
As unprecedented Government now closed (the Government Shutdown) this past October and scores of top politicians reduced. For this reason, we believe that in the next Congress will have to consider the matters raised public debt ceiling (Debt
.The Ceiling of the u.s. seems to be), and through easier in previous time.
.Strong growth and financial risk reduction As a result, u.s. Central Bank (Fed) dare to begin withdrawing monetary policy to stimulate investment by lowering the limit on the possibilities for acquisitions under its QE programme. Seven thousand a month to buy the rest of five billion US dollars since January 2014 onwards and is expected to continue to decrease over time until it stops completely takes over in the second half of the year 2014, but over at the Fed. It seems to be the year 2015.
Across Europe, banks and the economy is likely to accelerate in the next year as well. However, the expansion would still be in the country's economy is "catalogues" bigger is still better. Due to structural problems have not been resolved, but European leaders are expected to begin issuing measures to solve problems in the private sector. They began to focus on the European banking sector leaders by Chan to set up Bank Union (Union Banking). (ECB) is a person who oversees the ECB will start by examining the balance sheet of a large Bank of Europe, which is monitoring results over time, we came out in the year 2014 and expects the market will pay attention.
Additionally, risks to the politics in many countries and measures to help small countries have not expired and are expected by the end of 2014, market attention is likely to be renewed as part of measures Greece and Portugal even more
.Best Asian economies is likely to be a good basis for expansion has been strong support from the country's economic recovery and would push to accelerate exports, up from the year before. After the middle years ago. Markets are concerned that China's economy may be slowing down (Hard Landing), however, that the Chinese economy is slowing this year. In part as a result of the Government's intention to add balance to the economic system. 2014, based on the recovery of exports. In addition, there are risks due to the downtrend low, the Government has the potential to stimulate the economy if necessary,
.
The effects of the global economy is likely to improve support for the expansion of the Thai economic recovery in 2014. " However, domestic consumption may not grow too much. Revenue from the agricultural sector and wages remain weak.
Inflation section.
Trends accelerate up slowly, which is conducive to the Bank of Thailand Thai will still ease policy further through the year 2014.