But notice the word "likely in the sentence above." Likelihood 'or "weighing up the chances' (that is, PROBABILITY) is central to the statistical view of the world.
It recognizes no 100% certainties, especially when dealing with individual People, things or events, For example, a particular kind of field may, in general, produce a bigger potato-crop if treated in a certain way, but there will be many exceptions.
In which of these two cases would you think me more. likely to be proved correct: o
(a) If I predict that fields of a certain type will, in general, produce a bigger crop if treated in such-and-such a way? Or will do so?
(b) If I predict that any such particular field you care to pick out will do so?