Growth is expected to remain at 8.5% in 2014 and 8.6% in 2015. It will be driven by mining
(copper, cobalt and gold), reconstruction of roads and energy infrastructure as well as the impact
of the agricultural campaign launched in 2012. Under the pressure of overall demand, inflation
is expected to increase but remain below the target of 4%. These prospects are vulnerable to the
possible resurgence of conflict in the east of the country and its potential impact on public finance
sustainability and the business climate. Lower growth in emerging markets could result in a fall
in foreign direct investment and a decline in demand for minerals