But will such a collapse of firms’ values occur alongside an exchange rate collapse?
Theoretically, a sharp fall in stock prices need not affect the exchange rate. Outside investors
may choose to bring more capital into the country if, for example, they are more patient than
domestic investors. The exchange rate only depreciates if the loss of confidence about R also
triggers a fall in capital inflows or larger capital outflows.12 In fact, if the foreign exchange
market is forward looking, the mere prospect of a reduction in net capital inflows should be
enough to cause an immediate depreciation. There are five reasons why a loss of confidence may
cause the net capital inflow to fall and why this fall may be larger when corporate governance is
weaker.