The time value of an option, in contrast, depends on several factors, including the volatility of the underlying futures contract, the time until the option expires, the interest rate, the strike price, and the underlying futures price. Time value refers to the money that buyers are willing to pay for the possibility that the intrinsic value of an option will increase over time. An option on a futures contract with very low volatility, for example, will have a small time value because traders do not expect the intrinsic value to change to a great extent over time. If the futures price is volatile, in contrast, the probability is high that the option’s intrinsic value would increase and traders would be willing to pay more for the chance of such a gain (Sarris). In addition, intrinsic value depends on the time until the option’s expiration. The greater the time horizon, the greater the intrinsic value because price uncertainty is greater. Observed options prices can be used to provide information about anticipated price variability