In conclusion, the study offers a short list of key recommendations for
applying scenario methods to examine questions for the future of development
policy. The selection of appropriate methods should follow
from an exhaustive delineation of goals and priorities of the scenario
project. Researchers should avoid a purely quantitative approach and
acknowledge the normative elements of questions related to the future
of development policy. Rather than conducting a global scenario exercise,
it is also advisable for researchers to divide the scenario analysis
into a number of smaller, more focused, projects. Finally, the study emphasizes
that the ultimate target audience for scenario analyses regarding
the future of development policy should be involved in the scenario
generation process in order to strengthen the legitimacy and overall effectiveness
of such an undertaking.