Given the lack of a precise empirical indication of what the scale of possible
'compression' is, a factor of 2 is assumed, providing a mirror picture of morbidity
expansion hypothesis on the positive side of the constant health scenario deemed neutral
in macroeconomic terms. It is illustrated by dotted line on Graph 10 and is expected to
have a considerable impact on health care spending, amounting to about twice the effect
of constant health scenario. However, its results should be analysed with great caution,