According to interviews with executives and managers in charge
of budget planning in SMOE, the AECB in educational facilities is
established based on the electricity consumption of the previous
year. For example, the AECB in 2011 is established based on the
AECB in 2010. If this conventional method is used, however, the
trend in the increase in electricity consumption cannot be considered.
Therefore, it is necessary to develop a methodology that is
capable of accurately predicting the trend in the increase of electricity
consumption in educational facilities, and establishing the
AECB accurately based on such prediction.