When we think about sustainable development in the New Zealand context and
start taking a longer term, more encompassing view, it is clear that our changing
population is particularly important. New Zealand’s options for sustainable
development in the 21st century will be shaped by our population. Population
change has significant implications for all the issues in our programme of action.
New Zealand will continue to have a small population
Current projections suggest that the population is unlikely to reach 5 million in the
next fifty years, and may never do so. The New Zealand population is projected to
grow to 4.4 million by 2021, to 4.6 million by 2051 and to fall slightly, to
4.2 million, by 2101. Natural decrease will become the norm and, increasingly,
population growth will depend on gains from immigration.
People will be more mobile …
The effect of the departure of New Zealanders for work overseas and arrivals from
the rest of the world is a “turnover” in population that has resulted in a relatively
high proportion of our working age population being overseas-born.
Population mobility has implications for patterns of settlement, infrastructure and
the environment. The majority of new migrants settle in Auckland, at least initially.
Auckland’s rapid growth is raising concerns that its infrastructure, in particular,
may act as a barrier to future economic development because the city will be
unable to accommodate the numbers of new migrants expected.
More ethnically diverse …
The richer ethnic mix that is emerging highlights the need to ensure that
individuals and communities can participate fully in society. This has implications
for institutional structures, community cohesion, and the maintenance and
development of cultural and national identities.
When we think about sustainable development in the New Zealand context andstart taking a longer term, more encompassing view, it is clear that our changingpopulation is particularly important. New Zealand’s options for sustainabledevelopment in the 21st century will be shaped by our population. Populationchange has significant implications for all the issues in our programme of action.New Zealand will continue to have a small populationCurrent projections suggest that the population is unlikely to reach 5 million in thenext fifty years, and may never do so. The New Zealand population is projected togrow to 4.4 million by 2021, to 4.6 million by 2051 and to fall slightly, to4.2 million, by 2101. Natural decrease will become the norm and, increasingly,population growth will depend on gains from immigration.People will be more mobile …The effect of the departure of New Zealanders for work overseas and arrivals fromthe rest of the world is a “turnover” in population that has resulted in a relativelyhigh proportion of our working age population being overseas-born.Population mobility has implications for patterns of settlement, infrastructure andthe environment. The majority of new migrants settle in Auckland, at least initially.Auckland’s rapid growth is raising concerns that its infrastructure, in particular,may act as a barrier to future economic development because the city will beunable to accommodate the numbers of new migrants expected.More ethnically diverse …The richer ethnic mix that is emerging highlights the need to ensure thatindividuals and communities can participate fully in society. This has implicationsfor institutional structures, community cohesion, and the maintenance anddevelopment of cultural and national identities.
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