land are lost. In the former case, no land is lost from the ALR, but in the latter case most of it
comes from the ALR. Fig. 6 shows the ALR lost by land-use classes. It indicates that areas
currently under food crops, mainly vegetables and berries are under highest competition
from urban use and most prone to conversions. This is probably due to the fact that these are
grown in flat areas, which are also highly suitable for urban settlements.
Indicator values for different scenarios are presented in Table 4. The land marginality
index (LMI) is higher for all scenarios as compared to year 2000, except for the Prot-a
scenario. In general, ‘b’ scenarios have a higher LMI, implying that in these scenarios
most of the prime agricultural land is lost to urban conversion, causing agricultural
production to shift to marginal lands.