Taking Zhejiang Province as an example, we proposed an updated comprehensive index system to assessing the socioeconomic and the eco-environment systems. The paper applied a Granger test, and developed a coupling coordination model to explore the synergistic effects, the interdependencies, and the trade-offs among the integrated economic–CLU–ecology values from 2000 to 2012.
We showed that the change of integrated economic subsystem was the Granger cause of changes to the integrated ecology and CLU values. We further showed that the integrated values for ecology and CLU were each other’s Granger cause. This implied that the ecology and the CLU subsystems were sensitive to the change of industrialization and the economic structural, and several ecological issues and development conflicts had been raised from urbanization.
In the study period, looking at the sustainable development for the integrated economic–CLU–ecology values, the analysis of the coupling coordination model with the CD showed clear phases that can be divided into two short-term periods: from 2000 to 2004, and from 2004 to 2012. The coupling relationship between the integrated economic and CLU values had a constrained balanced development on the integrated economic–CLU–ecology value in the first period. The coupling relationship between the integrated ecology and economic values was the impediment for the sustainable development of economic–CLU–ecology in the second period.
The cultivated area per capita and the carbon emission intensity were found to have the greatest effects on the integrated value of the ecology subsystem. Further, the urbanization rate and the per capita disposable income of urban residents had the largest weights on the integrated value of the economic subsystem; and the GDP per unit construction land area and the government revenue per unit construction land area made the greatest contribution to the integrated value of the CLU subsystem. The results show the importance of building a low carbon and circular economic development mode, under the rapid population migration to urban and urban spatial sprawl conditions.
We argue that an intensive development pattern (rather than an extensive development pattern) would reduce the amount of resource consumption and improve productivity. This would solve the eco-environment problems under the back of economic development, which would achieve a sustainable development between the socioeconomic and the eco-environment systems.
Taking Zhejiang Province as an example, we proposed an updated comprehensive index system to assessing the socioeconomic and the eco-environment systems. The paper applied a Granger test, and developed a coupling coordination model to explore the synergistic effects, the interdependencies, and the trade-offs among the integrated economic–CLU–ecology values from 2000 to 2012.We showed that the change of integrated economic subsystem was the Granger cause of changes to the integrated ecology and CLU values. We further showed that the integrated values for ecology and CLU were each other’s Granger cause. This implied that the ecology and the CLU subsystems were sensitive to the change of industrialization and the economic structural, and several ecological issues and development conflicts had been raised from urbanization.In the study period, looking at the sustainable development for the integrated economic–CLU–ecology values, the analysis of the coupling coordination model with the CD showed clear phases that can be divided into two short-term periods: from 2000 to 2004, and from 2004 to 2012. The coupling relationship between the integrated economic and CLU values had a constrained balanced development on the integrated economic–CLU–ecology value in the first period. The coupling relationship between the integrated ecology and economic values was the impediment for the sustainable development of economic–CLU–ecology in the second period.พื้นที่เพาะปลูกต่อหัวและความเข้มของการปล่อยคาร์บอนพบว่ามีผลกระทบมากที่สุดมูลค่ารวมของระบบย่อยของระบบนิเวศ ต่อไป อัตราการกลายเป็นเมืองและรายได้ต่อหัวของคนมีน้ำหนักมากที่สุดมูลค่ารวมของระบบย่อยเศรษฐกิจ และ GDP ต่อหน่วยก่อสร้างที่ดินพื้นที่และรายได้รัฐบาลต่อหน่วยพื้นที่ก่อสร้างที่ดินทำผลสูงสุดกับค่ารวมของระบบย่อย CLU ผลลัพธ์แสดงความสำคัญของการสร้างคาร์บอนต่ำและพัฒนาเศรษฐกิจวงกลม ภายใต้โหมดการโยกย้ายประชากรอย่างรวดเร็วสภาพนั่นเชิงพื้นที่ในเมือง และในเมืองเราเถียงว่า รูปแบบการพัฒนาที่เข้มข้น (ไม่ใช่พัฒนาหลากหลายรูปแบบ) จะลดปริมาณการใช้ทรัพยากร และเพิ่มประสิทธิภาพ นี้จะแก้ปัญหาสิ่งแวดล้อม-สิ่งแวดล้อมภายใต้ด้านหลังของการพัฒนาเศรษฐกิจ ซึ่งจะให้เกิดการพัฒนาอย่างยั่งยืนของเศรษฐกิจและระบบนิเวศ-สิ่งแวดล้อม
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