Thai politics are sinking towards further turmoil, and require a dialogue and new social contract, the International Crisis Group argued in a new policy paper issued Thursday.
The problem, the Brussels-based group argued, is that public anxiety and military repression of dissent make such agreement impossible.
Its new paper published Thursday is entitled Thailand's Lengthening Roadmap to Elections and will be available at the group's website.
Most Thais, it claims, are "Either receptive or resigned to a period of military rule", but also expect future turmoil, at least partly because the military insists on having veto power over the constitution.
While negotiations and a new social order are required, "Necessary conditions for such a dialogue, including protection of political rights and leadership with a stake in compromise, are absent".