Specifically, we think that three new business models will emerge to take market share away from traditional, full-service banking institutions that fail to adapt:
• Niche Digital Provider
• Digital, Full-Service Bank
• Big Box Bank
A few of today’s full-service traditional providers will have the foresight and financial and operational wherewithal to evolve from their existing market position into one of these models. Others will begin making the required investments to also move in that direction—advancing their existing business models to effectively compete with new competitors.
Those that do nothing and try to cling to the status quo risk losing significant market share and leave themselves vulnerable to a potential acquisition by the nimbler banks those that we envision in this paper.
Although convergent disruption challenges banks, it also opens significant opportunity to those who take advantage of the highly dynamic environment.