Greenfield and M&A FDI have a strong, bi-directional causality in industrial countries. In developing countries, Greenfield FDI does not precede M&A FDI, but a rise in mergers and acquisitions does lead to higher Greenfield investment.
In other words, FDI initially driven by the purchase of existing companies results in fresh investment in the following years. Thus, for instance, the end of the privatization process in Latin America need not dry up FDI but may instead give way to rising Greenfield investment. • The relationship between domestic investment and the two types of FDI is rather complex. In industrial countries, domestic investment leads M&A FDI but is led by Greenfield investment. In developing countries, domestic investment leads both types of FDI, but not the reverse (except LAC). It appears that in the case of emerging economies foreign investors prefer to hold their capital until they perceive signals of profitable opportunities through a rise of domestic investment. In the case of industrial countries, their high degree of capital market integration and widespread availability of enterprise-related information may make the relationship between foreign and domestic investment more likely to be bi-directional.
Greenfield and M&A FDI have a strong, bi-directional causality in industrial countries. In developing countries, Greenfield FDI does not precede M&A FDI, but a rise in mergers and acquisitions does lead to higher Greenfield investment. In other words, FDI initially driven by the purchase of existing companies results in fresh investment in the following years. Thus, for instance, the end of the privatization process in Latin America need not dry up FDI but may instead give way to rising Greenfield investment. • The relationship between domestic investment and the two types of FDI is rather complex. In industrial countries, domestic investment leads M&A FDI but is led by Greenfield investment. In developing countries, domestic investment leads both types of FDI, but not the reverse (except LAC). It appears that in the case of emerging economies foreign investors prefer to hold their capital until they perceive signals of profitable opportunities through a rise of domestic investment. In the case of industrial countries, their high degree of capital market integration and widespread availability of enterprise-related information may make the relationship between foreign and domestic investment more likely to be bi-directional.
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