(3) In this paper, the three models were based on the data of regular
and light occurrence years of rice stripe disease, eliminating
outbreak year 2004; the forecast year is also a regular year.
Therefore, the models in this study cannot be applied to predict
heavy occurrence years of rice stripe disease. However, the
number of heavy occurrence years of rice stripe disease is small,
most are regular years, and the recent years are light occurrence.
These models still have applicability.