Abarbanell and Bushee (1994a) test the analysts' claims not only in the traditional way, but also within the context of earnings prediction. They find that over their longest sample period, receivables buildups are good news with respect to future earnings. (One possibility is that such buildups are signals of increased customer demand in the last few days or weeks of the fiscal period.) Unless the result reflects sampling error, the evidence suggests that the analysts' views were, on average, simply wrong, and that "the market" was wrong in the same way.I That under standing could never have been generated through the traditional approach to research.
Abarbanell and Bushee (1994a) test the analysts' claims not only in the traditional way, but also within the context of earnings prediction. They find that over their longest sample period, receivables buildups are good news with respect to future earnings. (One possibility is that such buildups are signals of increased customer demand in the last few days or weeks of the fiscal period.) Unless the result reflects sampling error, the evidence suggests that the analysts' views were, on average, simply wrong, and that "the market" was wrong in the same way.I That under standing could never have been generated through the traditional approach to research.
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