1) Fire – Gross and Net ULR for AY 2014 Q4 should increase. Firstly, you need to consider why is the incurred claims so low. Is it due to good performance or delay in report?
If good performance, is it due to frequency (less claims) or severity (lower claim amounts seen in average paid and average incurred)? Were there new underwriting or claims initiatives to support the better business?
Furthermore, the ULR is usually about 1-2% higher than the initial incurred loss ratio. I believe an ELR method should be used at least at 5-6% on the Net. Also, the Gross Paid Chain Ladder is suggesting higher LR than the Gross Incurred Chain Ladder. You might want to relook.