Consumer Futures 2020 contains four scenarios which explore how global trends may change our world, consumer behaviour and the consumer goods industry over the next decade. In each scenario social and environmental pressures drive sustainable goods and services into the mainstream, whether or not consumers actively demand them and regardless of whether the global economy is thriving or subdued.
It is designed as a practical tool to help retailers, brands and manufacturers throughout the global consumer goods industry plan for the future. Sainsbury’s and Unilever plan to use it as a platform for collaboration and innovation, jointly developing profitable and sustainable initiatives that will help them meet the ambitious commitments in Unilever’s Sustainable Living Plan and Sainsbury’s five corporate responsibility values.
Dr Sally Uren, Deputy CEO of Forum for the Future, said: “Smart brands and businesses will make money today by accelerating the transition to a sustainable future. They need to make it easy for consumers to go green by offering products and services which are not just better for the environment, but healthier, cheaper and longer-lasting.”
Sainsbury’s, Unilever and Forum for the Future pooled their knowledge to develop four very different but plausible possible worlds of 2020, focussing on consumers’ attitudes and behaviour. Each shows how different aspects of sustainable consumption have become mainstream.
In ‘My way’, mainstream consumers buy locally, strengthening their local economies. Vertical farming is widespread, producing more food per unit of land. Sustainable living is high-tech and easy; products such as the personal energy micro-manager help reduce energy consumption and build personal relationships via on-line competitions.
In ‘Sell it to me’, brands and businesses have taken a lot of the hard work out of being sustainable, driven by resource scarcity and a global deal on climate change. Retailers have taken unsustainable products off the shelves and smart products and services are commonplace – all designed to reduce their in-use impacts.
In ‘From Me to You’, communities are again strengthened by local food and energy production. Resources are valued much more highly than today because they are scarce and expensive, and there is little or no waste. Goods exchanges are mainstream, encouraging recycling and re-use of goods and resources, from fridges to grey water.
Finally, in ‘I’m in your hands’, the product to service shift has become mainstream. Retailers and brands lease a lifetime’s supply of key goods, and now also provide heat, water and nutrition. Strict government legislation and economies of scale mean that these leasing models are highly sustainable. Consumers take a 'waste not, want not' attitude and expect government and business to take the lead on delivering sustainability.
In a joint foreword to Consumer Futures 2020 Mr King, Ms Sourry and Dr Uren say that global challenges such as climate change, scarcity of key resources and rapid population growth “make it essential for us to reorient our global economy around sustainable, low-carbon patterns of consumption.“
They add: “Successful brands will need to innovate to meet challenges like these, develop sustainable products, services and business models, and work with consumers to make them a success”.
Consumer Futures 2020 contains four scenarios which explore how global trends may change our world, consumer behaviour and the consumer goods industry over the next decade. In each scenario social and environmental pressures drive sustainable goods and services into the mainstream, whether or not consumers actively demand them and regardless of whether the global economy is thriving or subdued.
It is designed as a practical tool to help retailers, brands and manufacturers throughout the global consumer goods industry plan for the future. Sainsbury’s and Unilever plan to use it as a platform for collaboration and innovation, jointly developing profitable and sustainable initiatives that will help them meet the ambitious commitments in Unilever’s Sustainable Living Plan and Sainsbury’s five corporate responsibility values.
Dr Sally Uren, Deputy CEO of Forum for the Future, said: “Smart brands and businesses will make money today by accelerating the transition to a sustainable future. They need to make it easy for consumers to go green by offering products and services which are not just better for the environment, but healthier, cheaper and longer-lasting.”
Sainsbury’s, Unilever and Forum for the Future pooled their knowledge to develop four very different but plausible possible worlds of 2020, focussing on consumers’ attitudes and behaviour. Each shows how different aspects of sustainable consumption have become mainstream.
In ‘My way’, mainstream consumers buy locally, strengthening their local economies. Vertical farming is widespread, producing more food per unit of land. Sustainable living is high-tech and easy; products such as the personal energy micro-manager help reduce energy consumption and build personal relationships via on-line competitions.
In ‘Sell it to me’, brands and businesses have taken a lot of the hard work out of being sustainable, driven by resource scarcity and a global deal on climate change. Retailers have taken unsustainable products off the shelves and smart products and services are commonplace – all designed to reduce their in-use impacts.
In ‘From Me to You’, communities are again strengthened by local food and energy production. Resources are valued much more highly than today because they are scarce and expensive, and there is little or no waste. Goods exchanges are mainstream, encouraging recycling and re-use of goods and resources, from fridges to grey water.
Finally, in ‘I’m in your hands’, the product to service shift has become mainstream. Retailers and brands lease a lifetime’s supply of key goods, and now also provide heat, water and nutrition. Strict government legislation and economies of scale mean that these leasing models are highly sustainable. Consumers take a 'waste not, want not' attitude and expect government and business to take the lead on delivering sustainability.
In a joint foreword to Consumer Futures 2020 Mr King, Ms Sourry and Dr Uren say that global challenges such as climate change, scarcity of key resources and rapid population growth “make it essential for us to reorient our global economy around sustainable, low-carbon patterns of consumption.“
They add: “Successful brands will need to innovate to meet challenges like these, develop sustainable products, services and business models, and work with consumers to make them a success”.
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