In brief
The military and its allies have cemented their control but have failed to bring about a strong economic recovery as they had hoped to do. Elections are unlikely before 2016, and may preserve the military's dominance even when they are held. Big infrastructure projects and an improvement in political stability will see GDP growth recover modestly in 2015, after a sharp slowdown in 2014. However, the economy's average annual pace of expansion in 2015-19 will remain below potential, at 3.6%.